US Forcoli 1921 vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
PON
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TUT
0 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
MEZ
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 4
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BOR
3 - 0
PER
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 1
BOR
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 0
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
BOR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |