US Forcoli 1921 vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CLZ
2 - 0
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 2
SGP
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 3
GAV
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SSD
6 - 5
ASD
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |