US Forcoli 1921 vs ASD Cecina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
DER
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
GAV
7 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 1
MPO
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
4 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Cecina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 0
MPO
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
ASC
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ORV
1 - 0
ASC
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |