Força e Luz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 1
FEL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
2 - 1
ASS
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
GLO
2 - 1
FEL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 0
ASS
62%
19%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FEL
3 - 4
POT
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 0
ACD
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
4 - 2
GLO
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
APA
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
ABC
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -2 |