Forbach vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAN
29%
24%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 5
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LUN
0 - 2
MET
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
FCS
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
ILL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
MET
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |