Fontanar CR vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+216%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points