Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 4-1
Fontana vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
FON
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 1
FON
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
FON
3 - 1
FGB
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PTR
0 - 1
FON
35%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FON
1 - 0
CSC
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
FON
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
JHC
3 - 1
COM
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
HUR
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
COM
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COM
5 - 1
JHC
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |