Fontana vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 0
FON
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
ARN
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JUC
2 - 2
FON
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FON
1 - 0
CSC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
SMA
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
SMA
16%
21%
64%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 1
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
ARN
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUC
2 - 1
COM
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
1 - 0
COM
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |