Fontana vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALU
1 - 2
FON
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
FON
3 - 2
RES
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FON
3 - 1
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
OCF
0 - 2
FON
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FON
2 - 0
ALU
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
ACH
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 2
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUC
3 - 1
COM
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
INS
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |