Follo vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SKE
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
OPP
1 - 1
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 1
FOL
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SEN
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
ULL
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 0
SEN
28%
21%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
ULL
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ULL
3 - 4
HAR
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KJE
1 - 0
ULL
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |