Follo vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
4º
1º
28
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SAR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 2
NOR
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FOL
4 - 0
KFU
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
HIS
93%
6%
2%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
5 - 0
TRO
74%
14%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 0
SIK
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
OPP
3 - 2
TRO
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
ASK
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |