Follo vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FOL
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
KJE
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FIN
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
6 - 1
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 0
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 3
GRO
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
SEN
3 - 2
TRO
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
OPP
2 - 0
TRO
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
KJE
3 - 2
TRO
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |