Follo vs IL Stjørdals-Blink analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
11º
10º
19
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 18 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 3
MOS
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
FOL
61%
21%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
2 - 5
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 1
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 2
FOL
38%
23%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
IL Stjørdals-Blink
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
RAN
36%
23%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
RFK
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KVI
0 - 1
STB
36%
22%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
KJE
1 - 2
STB
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
STB
0 - 3
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |