Follo vs Skjervøy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
4º
1º
40
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 3
FOL
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 0
SKE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
KFU
1 - 2
FOL
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
8 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Skjervøy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 0
NOR
18%
19%
64%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 3
OPP
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 1
SIK
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
5 - 1
KFU
56%
20%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SKE
6 - 5
SIK
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |