Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
4º
1º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 2
NOR
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FOL
4 - 0
KFU
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 2
ASK
17%
19%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 3
SAR
4%
9%
87%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 3
MJO
37%
21%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
ASK
5 - 1
SAR
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |