Follo vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 1
DRO
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
FOL
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 0
IFR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 2
BAR
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
FOL
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
ORN
2 - 0
NOR
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 8
ORN
19%
19%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ORN
2 - 3
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
ORN
0 - 2
POR
60%
20%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SGR
1 - 2
ORN
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |