Follo vs Nesodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
5 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
AAL
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAU
5 - 1
FOL
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 3
ELV
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NES
1 - 3
KFU
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STR
1 - 3
NES
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NES
4 - 1
STA
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STE
7 - 3
NES
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NES
3 - 2
LEV
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |