Follo vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
DRO
0 - 1
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
SJE
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
OST
1 - 4
FOL
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
FOL
4 - 2
MAN
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 3
RAU
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MJO
3 - 0
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 0
SJE
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
STA
1 - 3
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |