Follo vs Lorenskog IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
5 - 0
SEN
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NES
0 - 3
FOL
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
KVI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 0
TRO
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorenskog IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
MJO
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 1
STA
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 2
LOR
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NES
3 - 4
LOR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 0
KVI
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |