Follo vs Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 4
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 0
RIL
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IKS
0 - 2
FOL
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
5 - 2
MAN
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SJE
2 - 1
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
IEX
86%
11%
4%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
IEX
1 - 1
SAR
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
RIL
2 - 1
IEX
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IEX
2 - 4
SJE
15%
18%
68%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IEX
1 - 3
POR
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |