Follo vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
11º
10º
21
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
FOL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
1 - 0
STB
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 3
MOS
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
FOL
61%
21%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
2 - 5
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
ASK
0 - 4
HON
29%
22%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HON
2 - 3
TRO
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
GRO
5 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
ULL
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |