Follo vs Grorud IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
9º
45
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SKE
6 - 0
FOL
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 1
STR
35%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GJO
0 - 4
FOL
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 3
STB
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
8 - 0
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 1
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
GRO
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 0
IKJ
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GJO
1 - 2
GRO
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EID
2 - 4
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |