Follo vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 3
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASK
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MOS
0 - 1
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
4 - 0
MJO
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
LOR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
FRI
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 2
SEN
53%
21%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NES
2 - 1
FRI
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
4 - 4
KVI
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |