Follo vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 3
FOL
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
DRO
0 - 1
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
SJE
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
OST
1 - 4
FOL
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
FFK
3 - 1
MJO
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
FFK
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
FFK
1 - 0
STR
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
FFK
0 - 1
STA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 3
FFK
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |