Follo vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
KJE
1 - 3
FOL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
FOL
1 - 1
SJE
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FLO
2 - 2
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FOL
4 - 3
KVI
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 0
TFC
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
2 - 0
KJE
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
1 - 1
FRA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
KJE
1 - 3
FRA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FRA
3 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |