Follo vs Elverum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DRO
0 - 0
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FOL
3 - 3
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SKJ
1 - 2
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
FOL
3 - 0
EID
67%
18%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
NFC
1 - 7
FOL
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 3
OSO
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NYB
3 - 1
ELV
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 5
ULL
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
GJO
4 - 1
ELV
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
ELV
3 - 3
MOL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |