Follo vs Asker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
11º
10º
9
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 18 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RFK
1 - 0
FOL
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FOL
3 - 2
ALT
43%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FOL
1 - 4
ULL
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STR
5 - 0
ASK
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ASK
0 - 3
STB
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ULL
3 - 2
ASK
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 3
STR
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 4
ASK
62%
19%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |