Follo II vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
SAR
12 - 0
FFK
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
KRA
4 - 0
FFK
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FFK
0 - 2
TIF
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
OST
2 - 1
FFK
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FFK
2 - 1
SJE
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 2
KRA
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TIF
4 - 2
SPA
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 4
OST
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SJE
2 - 1
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 7
STB
6%
12%
82%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | 0 |