Follo II vs Nordstrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
8 - 2
FFK
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
FFK
2 - 3
OSL
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
FFK
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
FFK
0 - 5
SAR
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
FFK
0 - 1
KRA
10%
18%
72%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 7
KRA
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TIF
0 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
OST
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SJE
4 - 2
NOR
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
FFK
41%
20%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |