Follo II vs Nesodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
OST
2 - 0
FFK
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FFK
1 - 0
RID
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RID
1 - 7
FFK
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FFK
0 - 0
RIL
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 3
FFK
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
RID
2 - 0
NES
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NES
1 - 3
TIF
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
9 - 1
NES
89%
8%
4%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NES
3 - 3
ASK
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOS
3 - 0
NES
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |