Follo II vs Nesodden II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
SKE
6 - 0
FFK
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FFK
1 - 0
HSK
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
FFK
0 - 1
FFK
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nesodden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
NES
2 - 1
SAR
11%
19%
71%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
SKE
2 - 1
NES
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
NES
4 - 2
ASK
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |