Folkestone Invicta vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
RAM
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PEA
3 - 0
FOL
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
GUE
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
WOR
5 - 3
HOR
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FAV
0 - 0
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
MER
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 4
LEA
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
WOR
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |