Folkestone Invicta vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 2
FOL
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 3
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
LOW
0 - 2
FOL
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 2
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 0
WIN
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
TOO
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEA
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
WIN
4 - 3
LOW
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
WIN
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |