Folkestone Invicta vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
THR
2 - 3
FOL
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
CHI
73%
16%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
FOL
41%
25%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
4 - 0
HOR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MER
3 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PEA
3 - 1
MER
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MER
3 - 2
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOO
0 - 1
MER
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MER
4 - 1
FAV
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |