Folkestone Invicta vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HAS
2 - 2
FOL
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BIL
4 - 2
FOL
52%
26%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 2
BUR
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
HAR
20%
25%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 4
CRA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
SUT
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HEN
2 - 2
CRA
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 1
LOW
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 0
KIN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |