Foligno Calcio vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 0
FOL
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
TRI
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 3
TER
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USF
3 - 1
TER
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TER
1 - 0
LEO
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |