Foligno Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
FOL
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
SAS
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
FOL
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
ARZ
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
3 - 0
FOL
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAN
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SSD
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
RIE
9%
18%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OST
3 - 1
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |