Foligno Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 2
FOL
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
FCV
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
ASG
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
USP
0 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FCV
19%
25%
57%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 3
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 3
SSD
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 0
USP
28%
27%
44%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 3
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |