Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
RIE
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
FOL
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LAQ
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
OST
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |