Foligno Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
FOL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
BEN
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PIS
2 - 1
FOL
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUS
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PRG
3 - 0
FOL
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 3
USC
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAG
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ARZ
24%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |