Foligno Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
FOL
3 - 1
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 0
FOL
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
BSL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CUO
0 - 0
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAG
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 2
UCG
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
PAG
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
USP
1 - 1
PAG
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAG
1 - 1
VIN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |