Foligno Calcio vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 0
FOL
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
FLA
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
AVE
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAQ
11 - 0
FOL
67%
21%
12%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 3
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
LAQ
24%
26%
51%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
OST
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OST
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ULD
2 - 1
OST
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
OST
19%
22%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |