Foligno Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
TAR
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
FOL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
NUO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 1
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
ASL
0 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |