Foligno Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
FOL
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 1
MPO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 0
GRO
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SDT
1 - 0
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POM
3 - 1
FOL
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
POM
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |