Foligno Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIE
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
FOL
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
JMO
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
PIA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 2
BAS
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JMO
1 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |