Foligno Calcio vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 1
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
OST
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
PIS
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
3 - 3
PIA
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FIE
1 - 4
ASD
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 3
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
ASD
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |