Foligno Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
USA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
4 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 2
FCV
68%
20%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 1
PRO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |