Foligno Calcio vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 2
FOL
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
USP
59%
22%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIG
38%
28%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
ASM
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASM
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |