Foligno Calcio vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
66%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
3 - 0
FOL
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
LAN
30%
24%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 0
FOL
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
OST
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 0
FOL
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
ARZ
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
26%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |