Folgueiro UD vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgueiro UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FOL
9%
16%
76%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 2
PON
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUI
1 - 0
FOL
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
IBE
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
XER
1 - 2
FOL
34%
23%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 4
ALF
36%
25%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
MUI
52%
23%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IBE
1 - 0
ALF
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |